Environment and economy on collision course

According to the latest communication from the the World Economic Forum; weak economies coupled with  extreme weather conditions in some places, have brought greater risks and instability in the international markets. In a highly uncertain economic backdrop, the European Union has avoided a euro break-up in 2012. Whereas, the United States stood very close to fall off from its fiscal cliff, merely a week ago. Of course, business leaders and academics are raising their alarm bells as they fear that many politicians and policy makers are not capable of addressing their fundamental problems.

These arguments were mirrored in  the recent ‘Global Risks 2013’ report, which surveyed more than 1,000 chief executives and owner-managers. This report maintained that the industry bosses are more pessimistic about their economic outlook, than how they perceived it a year ago. Unfortunately, many multi-national firms are facing unprecedented wealth gaps and unsustainable government finances in some of the countries, where they carry out their business. In addition, during this year some areas witnessed a marked increase in severe weather conditions, which may have also affected their operations as well as their bottom-line.

This particular report featured an 80-page analysis of risks which are envisaged for the next 10 years. It anticipates the World Economic Forum’s (WEF) annual meeting, scheduled between January 23rd to 27th. It will be held in the Swiss ski resort of Davos. This meeting will once again symbolise the modern globalised world, where business leaders hailing from successful multinational corporations mingle with  politicians and bankers. On the horizon, the economic front indicates that there are some dark clouds which are causing some euro-zone uncertainty. The report suggested that, “the associated risks of  systemic financial failure are limited, yet they cannot be completely discarded”. It transpires that there are rising concerns in the environmental issues, particularly about the greenhouse gas emissions. Apart from the strict European standards, the failure to adapt to climate change is being perceived as the biggest challenge for sustainability.

For instance, superstorm Sandy created havoc and unnecessary costs on the US east coast, in October. This year, the temperatures in China chilled to a 28-year low. Today, south eastern Australia battled scores of wildfires in heat-wave conditions. It goes without saying that slack resources will have to be dedicated to mitigate the rising risk from severe and unforeseen weather conditions. As a consequence, our well-being and the global prosperity of our future generations may be threatened.

Interestingly, on this occasion the theme in Davos has been dubbed, “resilient dynamism”. Inevitably, the governments and the businesses will have to come up with reasonable strategies and approaches to ensure that critical systems continue to respond to such contingencies. Essentially, the regulatory authorities and the business practitioners are expected to successfully weather the economic and environmental storms.

(source: http://reports.weforum.org/global-risks-2013/risk-case-1/testing-economic-and-environmental-resilience/)

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The fiscal cliff put political bickering aside

This year may have started on a positive note for many investors. It appears that the American fiscal cliff issue has been resolved satisfactorily. Beyond reasonable doubt, the US’s debt burden was and still is a very urgent crisis which has to be tackled, in a way or another. Both the Democratic and Republican parties have successfully negotiated a deal in order to avoid the turmoil of another recession. Interestingly, this dramatic news indicates that the two political parties are not as far apart in their fiscal and monetary mindsets. For example, both parties have incredibly agreed that the tax rates should rise on the highest earners, as they realised that the majority of workers cannot afford to pay any additional contributions to the US coffers at this point in time. However, the two parties were very reluctant in tackling the debt burden in a serious manner. Whilst the Democrats were genuinely unwilling to pursue any tough welfare reforms, the Republicans were hesitant about lowering the country’s defence budget.

Yet, the parties should be applauded for their concerted efforts, as they have acted wisely for the sake of their country’s solvency. For instance, the Republicans and the Democrats have recognised that the inheritance taxes should not be applicable across the board, to all and sundry. They agreed that the inheritance tax ought to be deducted only to the largest estates. In the main, the Democrats appeared to concur with their political rivals’ positions, particularly on the merits of preserving Bush-era tax cuts. On the other hand, the Republicans had quietly discarded their previous policies, namely the part-privatisation of Medicare state healthcare for the elderly.

In  plain words, the deal which was reached during the early hours of New Year’s Day shows that at least the US political system is not broken as it is the case across other jurisdictions. Yet, many commentors argue that the deal on the fiscal cliff leaves many contentious problems which will inevitably have to be resolved somehow, in the medium to long term.

The Fiscal Cliff

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